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Who's in pole position for the Champions League?
With just two matches to go in the Ligue 1 McDonald's season, the race for the top four is tighter than ever. Here's our look at the stakes for the season's final two rounds.
Olympique de Marseille, 2nd place, 59 points UCL odds: 75.2% UEL odds: 8.05%
Despite being pegged back in a frustrating one-all draw with Lille this weekend, Marseille still have excellent odds of reaching Europe's top competition under Roberto de Zerbi. A tricky trip to Le Havre, who held Monaco in their last home match, looms, but l'OM should have the goods to finish in the top four.
Remaining fixtures: At Le Havre, vs. Rennes
AS Monaco, 3rd place, 58 points UCL odds: 44.06% UEL odds: 14.78%
Monaco have struggled on the road in the season's second half, but will have their most challenging fixture -- against fellow European hopefuls Lyon -- at home. With Folarin Balogun back and scoring for the Monégasques, they control their own destiny and also look good value to finish in the top four.
Remaining fixtures: Vs. Lyon, at Lens
Balogun’s comeback! 🇺🇸⚽️ pic.twitter.com/g6rgqpaMSt
— AS Monaco EN 🇲🇨 (@AS_Monaco_EN) May 5, 2025
OGC Nice, 4th place, 57 points UCL odds: 26.52%, UEL odds: 22.63%
On three wins in a row thanks to Morgan Sanson rolling back the years in midfield, Nice have steadily climbed the table since a shock loss to FC Nantes a month ago. With only already-safe Rennes and Brest left to play, Les Aiglons may have the best chance of breaking into the current top three and earning direct qualification.
Remaining fixtures: At Rennes, vs. Brest
LOSC Lille, 5th place, 57 points UCL odds: 29.76%, UEL odds: 22.38%
Having dealt with injuries -- and the fixture congestion of admirable performance in this year's Champions League -- Bruno Génésio's side continue to scrap for a place in the top four. A draw at home against Marseille this last weekend will have frustrated, but like many of their rivals, they'll be confident of winning both of their remaining matches.
Remaining fixtures: At Brest, vs. Reims
"They're an incredible team -- for us to get the three points is special"
Coach on Saturday's win in #PSGRCSA pic.twitter.com/VaQ5mErme3— Racing Club de Strasbourg Alsace English (@RCSA_English) May 6, 2025
RC Strasbourg, 6th place, 57 points UCL odds: 23.39 %, UEL odds: 23.87%
After becoming just the second side this season to beat Paris Saint-Germain, winning 3-1 at home on Saturday, Liam Rosenior's exciting young side have shown they're ready to play for the top four until the season's final minute. However, they have a daunting pair of matches in two teams that are battling for survival. Angers even drew the reverse fixture, a reminder that the Alsatians must not be too confident.
Remaining fixtures: At Angers, vs. Le Havre
Olympique Lyonnais, 7th place, 54 points UCL odds: 1.15%, UEL odds: 8.29%
After a heart-rending loss to Lens this weekend, Lyon's chance of finishing in the top four are all but gone. That said, owing to a strong goal difference, six points in their last two matches will certainly make things interesting, especially given the first of those is against direct rivals Monaco.
Remaining fixtures: At Monaco, vs. Angers
*All odds provided by Opta
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